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2021

Predicting NBA Playoff Berths: FiveThirtyEight vs Betting Markets 2021-12-17
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TLDR: FiveThirtyEight’s forecasts of NBA playoff berths seem to hold-up OK against betting markets. If you trust them, you should consider betting against the Lakers right now. In The Virtues and …
stringr
dplyr
glue
gt
rvest
janitor
lubridate
purrr
tidyr
readr
fs
broom
Quantile Regression Forests for Prediction Intervals 2021-04-21
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In this post I will build prediction intervals using quantile regression, more specifically, quantile regression forests. This is my third post on prediction intervals. Prior posts: […] This …
workflows
ggplot
yardstick
gt
forcats
scales
pander
Simulating Prediction Intervals 2021-04-05
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Part 1 of my series of posts on building prediction intervals used data held-out from model training to evaluate the characteristics of prediction intervals. In this post I will use hold-out data to …
workflows
devtools
gt
ggplot
forcats
scales
pander
Understanding Prediction Intervals 2021-03-18
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Prediction intervals provide a measure of uncertainty for predictions on individual observations. This post… […] This is the first of three posts on prediction intervals (Part 2 employs …
AmesHousing
dplyr
rsample
recipes
gt
parsnip
workflows
ggplot
yardstick
stringr
tidyr
forcats
scales
pander
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